Thursday, 14 June 2012

Regulator dials down proposed mortgage rule changes

Tara Perkins, Jacqueline Nelson
The Globe and Mail

Canada’s banking regulator is taking a softer stand on new mortgage underwriting rules than expected, a move that should lessen banks’ and mortgage brokers’ fears of a new, tougher regime.

But that relief may be short-lived: Some industry watchers speculate that the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions will implement firmer rules in other areas when it releases its final guidelines around the end of the month.

The changes by OSFI are part of a larger, international effort to try to prevent another housing crisis like the subprime mortgage disaster. The new guidelines may help cool the country’s overheated housing market by tightening the rules around consumer lending.

OSFI has yet to issue its final rules, but on Wednesday it sent a letter to banks briefly updating them on some of its decisions so far.

In one of the most significant changes from the proposals it originally issued in March, it has backed off a rule that would have forced banks to insist borrowers re-qualify when their mortgages come up for renewal.

Mortgage brokers had feared such a rule would cause many people to lose their homes. Banks tend to focus on a borrower’s payment history, as opposed to rechecking income levels or property values, when mortgages come up for renewal. Lenders were worried that renewals would be denied if either of those elements had deteriorated since the consumer took out their mortgage, said Jim Murphy, head of the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals.

He said he’s pleased with OSFI’s decision.

The Canadian Bankers Association has also expressed its approval of the update.

“Less than half of 1 per cent of all mortgage holders with the country’s largest banks have gone more than three months without making a payment,” said Terry Campbell, president of the CBA, in a statement. “This number has been stable for more than two decades, in times of high and low unemployment, high and low interest rates, and a strong or weak Canadian dollar,” he noted.

Another change from the original proposal is that banks will not have to amortize home-equity lines of credit. As a result, HELOCs can continue to revolve, as opposed to forcing consumers to pay them back within a shorter time frame.

But there are still unanswered questions when it comes to these loans.

“We’re still waiting to see if people can get a mortgage portion in addition to that HELOC line of credit, which is possible now,” said Robert McLister, editor of Canadian Mortgage Trends. He is optimistic this condition will be preserved, based on discussions with OSFI.

Many people use these products for leveraged investments and interest-only borrowing. “If they had required an amortization rule with HELOCs then it would have made things much more difficult from a tax perspective,” Mr. McLister said.

A third significant change is that all the new rules, once they come into effect, will apply mainly to the banks’ Canadian operations. This will be important to those that have large foreign consumer lending businesses, such as Bank of Nova Scotia, which has retail businesses in numerous countries.

The final point in the update zeroes in on property assessments, taking the position that financial institutions should generally not rely on any single method. Banks often use automated appraisals rather than human appraisers because software is cheaper and can be turned around quickly. “It looks like the regulators are going to be keeping a closer eye on automated appraisals,” Mr. McLister said.

He also said that lenders are protecting themselves by increasingly ordering human appraisals. “It’s happening more and more. There’s a definite risk of overvaluation when you use an automated appraisal and you see that even more when the market has fallen,” he said.

Wednesday, 13 June 2012

Canada’s housing market still outshines rest of world: Scotia

Sunny Freeman, The Canadian Press 

TORONTO — Canadian housing market conditions have cooled slightly, with prices down nearly 2% in the first-quarter, but the country continues to outperform other developed nations, according to a new Scotiabank real estate report.

The latest Scotiabank Global Real Estate Trends report released Wednesday found that the inflation-adjusted national average home price fell by 1.6% in the first quarter of 2012 compared to the same period of 2011.

That compared with a 1.3 inflation-adjusted year-over-year gain in the fourth quarter of 2011.
Canada’s housing market remains an outperformer among developed nations, but conditions have cooled here as well, according to Scotiabank economist Adrienne Warren.

“Price trends are relatively steady in the majority of local markets, though a few, notably Toronto, continue to report strong appreciation,” Warren writes in the report, released Wednesday.

Demand has cooled due to moderate income growth and tighter mortgage insurance rules. In addition, there are more houses up for sale in most parts of the country.

Scotiabank said it expects the number of sales and average prices will be flat in the latter half of 2012.

By comparison, it found global property markets remain under stress, especially in recession-plagued European countries. Ireland saw prices fall a whopping 18.9% and prices in Spain, which has experienced a housing crash, fell 9.1% year-over-year.

Over the weekend, eurozone finance ministers offered to make $100 billion available to Spain to revive banks crushed by bad real estate loans. However, market reaction suggests many observers didn’t feel the relief was enough.

Most countries covered by the Scotiabank report saw prices decline during the quarter.

“The intensifying eurozone debt crisis, increasing financial market strains and moderating global growth suggests there is more downside risk to property prices in the near-term,” Warren said.
“Eventually, however, improved housing affordability and pent-up demand will put many of these markets on a firmer footing.”

Scotiabank projects that the era of ultra-low borrowing costs will continue in most developed economies, while many developing economies are moving to reverse prior hikes.

The latest figures on Canada’s housing market from the Canadian Real Estate Association are due Friday, measuring the strength of sales and prices in May.

In April, the average home price in Canada was up 0.9% from a year ago at $375,810, while sales on a year-over-year basis were 49,480, up 11.5% from 44,370 a year ago, CREA said.

Continued strength in the housing market, largely due to the staying power of low interest rates, has led some economists to warn the market is overvalued. That could make homeowners vulnerable to a downturn, especially those who have used low interest rates to borrow more than they could otherwise afford.

A report released earlier this week by the Toronto-Dominion banking group projected Vancouver and Toronto home prices will probably experience a downturn of about 15% in two to three years, but not the dramatic drop that hit the United States a few years ago.

The Bank of Canada and federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty recently stepped up their warnings to Canadians to moderate borrowing on real estate, declaring household debt to be the domestic economy’s number one enemy.

Tuesday, 12 June 2012

How much do you think you’ll get back for that reno?

Shelley White
The Globe and Mail

Ah, the sweet sounds of summer: hammering, sawing, digging, demolition. Well, they’re not sweet exactly, but certainly familiar to anyone who lives in one of Canada’s larger cities. With real estate prices in a state of flux, it seems everyone is eager to spruce up what they’ve got and hopefully be rewarded with an increase in property value. However, as we know, not all renovations are created equal. Just because you’re sinking the money into your home doesn’t mean you’ll see a return on your investment. And just about everyone has an opinion on what you should and shouldn’t be tearing out.

I came across a handy-dandyonline tool offered by theAppraisal Institute of Canada, which can help you determine how much of a return you can expect to get out of your home renovation. (The AIC is a self-regulating professional association and the largest property valuation organization in Canada, with 4,800 members in Canada and around the world.)

Choose a reno, plug in your expected cost, and it will tell you how much of your investment you can expect to get back. For example, if you spend $25,000 on a kitchen reno you are likely to get 75 to 100 per cent of that investment back when you sell, or $18,800 to $25,000.

Clearly, these are general guidelines, not hard and fast rules, and how much you spend will affect how much you get back. If you blow $70,000 on a fabulous bathroom job in a house that’s only worth double that, you’re unlikely to ever see a dime of that money again. In addition, choosing a renovation should be about more than just return on investment – it is your home, after all, and any work you do should also be for your enjoyment. But if you’re mulling over one job versus another and you’re looking to sell soon, it might be prudent to go for the basement reno over the swimming pool (see below).

Some of the big winners are obvious (bathroom and kitchen renovations appear to give the biggest bang for your buck), but there were others that were more surprising to me (only 25 to 50 per cent return on landscaping? Say it ain’t so).

Here’s a look at the return on investment you can expect from 25 of the most popular home renovations, according to the Appraisal Institute of Canada:

Bathroom and kitchen renovations are the real winners, providing a return on investment of about 75 to100 per cent, followed closely by exterior or interior painting at 50 to 100 per cent.

Other safe bets include basement renovation, garage construction, window/door replacement, rec room additions and fireplace installation, which return about 50 to 75 per cent, as do exterior siding and upgrades to flooring or furnace/heating systems.

You can expect a slightly lower return on investment (25 to 75 per cent) with concrete paving and roof shingle replacement, as well as installing central air conditioning or building a deck.

The lowest return on investment comes from landscaping, asphalt paving, building a fence or interlocking brick walkways, or even installing a home theatre room, which all return about 25 to 50 per cent. The home renovations that are least likely to increase property value are skylights, whirlpool tubs and swimming pools, which return between 0 and 25 per cent.

Monday, 11 June 2012

Bank of Canada interest rate decision: What you need to know





Friday, 8 June 2012

BC MORTGAGE BROKERS ENDORSE OFSI’S DECISION TO LEAVE REQUALIFYING RULES ALONE

VANCOUVER – Homeowners facing mortgage renewals can breathe easier now that the Office
of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) has reversed its proposed amendment to
require borrowers to re-qualify for their mortgages at renewal. This decision is heartily supported
by The Mortgage Brokers Association of BC (MBABC).

“We are immensely pleased that OSFI has responded so quickly to industry concerns”, says
Jared Dreyer, MBABC President. “This announcement is very welcome news for current
Canadian mortgagors as the renewal process will continue unchanged. The requirement for
borrowers to re-qualify their mortgages at renewal, even if they remained with their same lender,
could have resulted in severe financial hardship for some homeowners.”

OSFI did, however, call on banks to periodically review a client’s current credit situation,
although not necessarily at renewal, to effectively evaluate their credit risk. OSFI guidelines on
other mortgage underwriting changes will be forthcoming within the next couple of months.

With the complexities of the mortgage market, making an uninformed mortgage choice can
easily cost consumers thousands of dollars. Borrowers and current mortgage holders need to
ensure their buying or refinancing decisions are educated ones by using the services of a
mortgage professional.

For more information www.mbabc.ca.

Thursday, 7 June 2012

Bank regulator to watch over CMHC

Scrutiny on mortgage insurer ensures stronger system: minister

By Gordon Isfeld, Financial Post

The federal government is putting Canada's housing agency under tighter scrutiny amid concerns over a red-hot housing market and rising consumer debt.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced Thursday responsibility for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. will be handed over to the country's banking regulator, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions.

The measure, contained in new legislation tabled Thursday, will "enhance the oversight framework for CMHC to ensure its commercial activities, particularly its mortgage insurance and securitization programs, play an important role in the housing market and the financial system," Flaherty said.

"These proposed changes are part of the government's continuous efforts to strengthen the housing finance system," he told reporters.

"They will contribute to the stability of the housing market and benefit all Canadians."

Flaherty said OSFI would now be responsible for reviewing and monitoring CMHC's commercial activities. Until now, the agency was overseen by Human Resources Minister Diane Finley. "I've been concerned about the CMHC for some time in the sense that it's become an important financial institution in Canada, and it was not subject to the same supervision by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions," he said. "So I think this is an important step forward."

The government has tightened mortgage-lending rules three times in the past four years as the housing market heated up, and Flaherty said he will again "take action as necessary."

"We watch the market closely, and I particularly watch the condo market in Vancouver, Toronto and to some extent in Montreal."

CMHC's function is to insure consumer mortgages and guarantee mortgage-backed securities issued by banks. The Crown corporation currently has a $600-billion loan limit, which the government increased three years ago from $450 billion. Ottawa guarantees the full value of mortgages insured by CMHC and 90 per cent of loans insured by private firms.

The changes were alluded to in the government's March 29 budget.

On Wednesday, Flaherty said "the issue that pushes them near their lending limit is the desire of some of the financial institutions to purchase portfolio insurance for their low-ratio mortgages," adding "that's not the way most people usually think of CMHC."

Queen's University finance professor Louis Gagnon said he has also "been concerned about the CMHC for a long time."

"I believe that the federal government's plan to bring CMHC under the direct supervision of the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions is long overdue," said Gagnon, who specializes in debt and risk management.

"In fact, the previous oversight arrangement was ill-suited for this important task and I never did understand why the CMHC had been placed under the jurisdiction of the minister responsible for Human Resources and Skills Development. This was a recipe for a disaster."

Canada's hot housing market has long been a concern for the government and the Bank of Canada, which has kept its key interest rate at a near-record low of one per cent since September 2010.

Mortgage rates also hit new lows as commercial banks competed for consumers who are continuing to buy into the housing market even as prices rise.

Wednesday, 6 June 2012

Canadians taking extra steps to tackle debt load

TORONTO — The Canadian Press

The majority of Canadians are in debt but nearly half of them are trying to pay off their dues ahead of schedule, according to a survey conducted for a major bank.

The study, commissioned by CIBC, found that 72 per cent of respondents said they held some form of debt such as a mortgage, student loan or credit card.

However, about 49 per cent of those responding to a phone survey conducted for CIBC said they’ve made an extra lump sum payment in the last year to try and bring down what they owed.

“Debt management is top of mind for Canadians, and these poll results show that many Canadians are taking steps towards reducing their debt,” said Christina Kramer, CIBC executive vice-president of retail distribution.

The bank said the results show that Canadians are focused on reducing their debts amid warnings about rising household debt.

The Bank of Canada and some economists have warned that Canadians are piling on too much debt while interest rates are low, and some may no longer be able to afford their homes when interest rates rise.

CIBC said that while the findings show many Canadians are conscious of debt management, past research has suggested that most are likely to seek out advice about retirement planning before they pursue financial guidance on their debts.

The phone survey was conducted by Harris-Decima from a poll of 2,003 Canadians between March 22 and April 2.

Tuesday, 5 June 2012

The do's and don'ts of a home renovation

LUCY WARWICK-CHING
Financial Times

In an inflated property market, many homeowners may choose to undertake renovations rather than move in order to get more out of their home and limit any potential fall in value in the event the market turns around.

But some improvements may cost more than the value they add to a property, experts say, so it’s important to consider what kind of work to have done. Here are five points to consider when contemplating a home reno:

Be objective

This might sound obvious, but you will only be able to convert your investment into a return if you are able to sell your home at a good price. This means ensuring the improvements you make have a broad appeal. Designer features, such as standalone baths in the middle of a bedroom, will only ever appeal to a small section of the market, especially if they come at the expense of valuable living space.

Extend/Convert

The two main factors that determine a property’s price are size and location. The latter isn’t something you can change but adding space can be an effective way to add value. However, spending $100,000 rearranging the layout of your property doesn’t mean you will add $100,000 in value. Why? Because you haven’t added a single extra square foot of floor space. Attic conversions or basement finishing are two of the most cost effective ways to add value to your property, with a rear extension adding slightly less.

Local research

It is vital to research your local area and market, because there will be a maximum price that a house in a certain neighbourhood can be valued at, regardless of the improvements you make. Consider the value of the work you are doing in relation to the maximum sale value of similar properties in your area, and keep in mind that going over this figure is risky.

Improve energy efficiency

With fuel costs expected to have nowhere to go but up, having an energy-efficient home is a big selling point for many prospective buyers who are becoming increasingly conscious of a home’s running costs and environmental issues. Getting a professional energy audit and addressing problems, some of which can be very simple to rectify, can boost a home’s energy-efficiency considerably.

Layout

It is important when considering the layout of your property to try and avoid losing rooms. If you expand a room’s size at the expense of another’s and in the process go from a three- to a two-bedroom property, it is extremely likely you will be reducing the value of your home. Also, try to keep layouts flexible – if you go to an open-concept ground floor, consider installing dividing doors or make it easy to reinstate stud walls so potential purchasers understand they can change the layout to meet their needs.

Monday, 4 June 2012

Report: OSFI has the wrong end of the stick

By Vernon Clement Jones

A new report is backing up broker concerns OSFI is about to fix what ain’t broke – this new research identifying already-reduced amortizations, low arrears and high levels of homeowner equity.

“Mortgage borrowers are making significant efforts to accelerate repayment, such as voluntarily increasing their regular payments (23 per cent) and making lump sum payments (19 per cent), with some borrowers (10 per cent) doing both,” finds CAAMP's spring consumers' report, released Wednesday. "And approximately 50 per cent of borrowers pay $100 per month (or more) above their required payments.”

The report relies on an online survey of 2,000 Canadians, including 800 homeowners with mortgages. It was conducted by Maritz Research and adds weight to the findings of a CMHC report issued last week.

It also suggests that recent buyers expect amortization periods will be about 20 per cent shorter than their contracted length, mirroring the current reality for many Canadian homeowners.

To boot, the report also suggests 83 per cent of Canadians have at least 25 per cent equity in their homes. Separately and collectively, those findings point to a mortgage market well positioned to handle the challenges of a correction in the housing market and to protect the investment of the vast majority of homeowners.

Brokers are also hoping the findings will encourage OSFI to reconsider some of the underwriting
guidelines it will likely bring into force next month.

Those measures – from re-qualification at renewal to slashing the maximum loan-to-value on HELOCs – are meant to throw up a firewall around Canada’s housing market.

Brokers haven’t been convinced of the need for it.

The position is garnering support outside of the CAAMP research, with the official opposition in Otttawa registering the same concerns as brokers.

"We just need to make sure that people are protected in some of these temporary situations (where they may have lost a job),” said Peggy Nash, the federal NDP’s finance critic, “if they have a good credit record and have never had a problem making their payment."

OSFI has floated the idea of forcing mortgage-holders to re-qualify at renewal, although exactly what that involves remains unclear.

Brokers, and their professional associations, were among the first to balk at the suggestion, arguing it could create the kind of market crisis the proposals aim to overt.

Nash appears to agree, with her party most worried Canadians tempor
arily out of work could possibly lose their homes. She’s asking the Harper government to back off.

But OSFI has suggested it has little intention of backing down, Its manager of policy developing expressing concern about the country’s ability to meet a significant housing correction head on.

Friday, 1 June 2012

Dismal economic data set to cool Bank of Canada’s hawkish tone

John Shmuel

Disappointing economic data on two fronts Friday will likely cool hawkish language from the Bank of Canada when it makes its interest rate announcement next Tuesday.

While it is widely expected that the Bank will keep its benchmark interest rate at 1%, speculation has grown this year that a rate hike could come as soon as this summer,mainly due to improving job growth and home building in Canada. But clear signs emerged Friday that the global economic slowdown could effect Canada more than expected.

New data showed that the Canadian economy grew by only 1.9% in the first quarter, well below the Bank of Canada’s target of 2.5%. GDP in March in particular increased by just 0.1%.

“The soft handoff from March means that the second quarter won’t be stellar either,” said Krishen Rangasamy senior economist at National Bank.

Meanwhile, dismal data from the U.S. suggests the country’s job growth is stalling. Employers created a paltry 69,000 jobs in May, the fewest in 12 months. Economists had been expecting jobs to increase by 150,000. The miss, combined with new entrants into the workforce, was enough to push unemployment to 8.2% from 8.1%.

“Europe’s storm clouds have nearly put the brakes on U.S. business hiring, casting a pall over the economic outlook,” said Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets.

In its latest interest rate announcement in April, the Bank of Canada surprised markets with strong language hinting it would move to hike interest rates this year. Citing reduced slack in the economy and firmer underlying inflation, the Bank said that “some modest withdrawal” of “monetary policy stimulus”  would be needed.

Some economists had even said a rate hike this summer was possible. But those expectations are being tempered as economists now say the Bank will likely scale back its hawkish language on interest rates.

“Expect the Bank of Canada’s recent hawkish talk to tone down quite significantly in light of softer domestic numbers and also due to external factors,” Mr. Rangasamy said.

Derek Holt, economist at Scotia Capital, said the data reinforces his view that the Bank of Canada will be on hold until at least mid-2013.

“The policy implication here is that, in our judgment, there is no way the Bank of Canada will be hiking rates this year and likely not until well into next year at the earliest,” said Mr. Holt.